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STATJUNKIE'S PREDICTIONS AS OF MARCH 10, 2010

These predictions change based on several factors including but not limited to those listed below - as records change the probabilities shift so check back each month to get up to date predictions.

*Teams with an Automatic Bid are currently winning their conference, or have won their conference tournament

*Teams with an At Large Bid have the next best statistical chance of making the NCAA Tournament

 

College

Conference

Wins

Losses

RPI Rank

StatJunkie Prediction - Chance of receiving At Large Bid

Automatic Bid

At Large Bid

Syracuse

BigEast

28

3

3

100.00%

X

 

Kansas

Big12

29

2

1

100.00%

X

 

Kentucky

SEC

29

2

4

100.00%

X

 

Duke

ACC

26

5

2

100.00%

X

 

Purdue

Big10

26

4

12

100.00%

X

 

New Mexico

MWC

28

3

7

100.00%

X

 

Temple

A10

26

5

17

99.98%

X

 

Butler

Horizon

28

4

13

99.95%

X

 

Northern Iowa

MVC

28

4

18

99.06%

X


California

Pac10

21

9

20

96.57%

X

 

Utah St.

WAC

24

6

30

94.06%

X

 

Old Dominion

CAA

26

8

32

80.78%

X


UTEP

ConfUSA

24

5

42

73.36%

X

 

Siena

MAAC

27

6

35

65.25%

X


St. Mary's (CA)

WCC

25

5

41

22.62%

X


Kent St.

MAC

22

8

43

5.18%

X

 

Oakland

Summ

24

8

45

4.18%

X

 

Cornell

Ivy

25

4

49

0.71%

X


Murray St.

OVC

28

4

58

0.61%

X


Wofford

Southern

25

8

68

0.06%

X


Weber State

BigSky

18

9

77

0.00%

X

 

Sam Houston St.

Southlnd

18

7

81

0.00%

X

 

North Texas

SunBelt

22

8

101

0.00%

X

 

Morgan State

MEAC

24

9

106

0.00%

X

 

Pacific

BigWest

20

10

124

0.00%

X

 

East Tenn. St.

AtlSun

19

14

117

0.00%

X


Vermont

AmEast

24

9

131

0.00%

X

 

Quinnipiac

NE

23

8

133

0.00%

X

 

Winthrop

BigSouth

17

13

154

0.00%

X


Lehigh

Patriot

21

10

164

0.00%

X

 

Jackson St.

SWAC

18

11

192

0.00%

X

 

West Virginia

BigEast

24

6

5

100.00%

 

X

Pittsburgh

BigEast

24

7

9

100.00%

 

X

Georgetown

BigEast

20

9

15

100.00%

 

X

Baylor

Big12

23

6

8

100.00%

 

X

Villanova

BigEast

24

6

10

100.00%

 

X

Wisconsin

Big10

23

7

16

100.00%

 

X

Kansas St.

Big12

23

6

6

100.00%

 

X

Tennessee

SEC

23

7

14

99.99%

 

X

Texas A&M

Big12

21

8

11

99.99%

 

X

Maryland

ACC

22

7

19

99.99%

 

X

Ohio St.

Big10

24

7

29

99.98%

 

X

Michigan St.

Big10

24

7

24

99.94%

 

X

Xavier

A10

23

7

21

99.90%

 

X

Vanderbilt

SEC

22

7

23

99.89%

 

X

Oklahoma St.

Big12

21

9

28

99.87%

 

X

Louisville

BigEast

20

11

31

99.71%

 

X

Texas

Big12

23

8

26

99.61%

 

X

Richmond

A10

24

7

25

99.51%

 

X

Missouri

Big12

22

9

37

99.02%

 

X

BYU

MWC

27

4

22

98.86%

 

X

Clemson

ACC

21

9

27

98.08%

 

X

Wake Forest

ACC

19

9

33

97.61%

 

X

Florida St.

ACC

22

8

36

95.36%

 

X

San Diego St.

MWC

20

8

34

82.68%

 

X

UNLV

MWC

22

7

48

69.36%

 

X

Gonzaga

WCC

25

6

38

64.67%

 

X

Georgia Tech

ACC

18

11

44

62.38%

 

X

Notre Dame

BigEast

21

10

59

51.41%

 

X

Marquette

BigEast

20

10

57

50.46%

 

X

Florida

SEC

20

11

53

40.35%

 

X

Virginia Tech

ACC

23

7

50

39.17%

 

X

Wichita State

MVC

24

9

46

29.00%

 

X

Connecticut

BigEast

17

15

62

21.62%

 

X

UAB

ConfUSA

23

7

40

20.91%

 

X

Memphis

ConfUSA

23

8

47

20.87%

 

 

Rhode Island

A10

22

8

39

15.27%

 

 

Seton Hall

BigEast

19

11

54

12.29%

 

 

South Florida

BigEast

20

11

66

6.28%

 

 

Arizona St.

Pac10

22

9

55

6.02%

 

 

Mississippi

SEC

21

9

56

3.56%

 

 

Dayton

A10

20

11

51

2.62%

 

 

Washington

Pac10

21

9

52

1.73%

 

 

Illinois

Big10

18

13

76

1.59%

 

 

Cincinnati

BigEast

17

14

63

0.86%

 

 

Mississippi St.

SEC

21

10

69

0.53%

 

 

Marshall

ConfUSA

20

8

61

0.31%

 

 

Nevada

WAC

18

11

64

0.23%

 

 

New Mexico St.

WAC

18

11

65

0.19%

 

 

Minnesota

Big10

18

12

78

0.13%

 

 

William & Mary

CAA

21

10

60

0.11%

 

 

Charlotte

A10

19

12

75

0.07%

 

 

Northeastern

CAA

20

12

73

0.04%

 

 

VA Commonwealth

CAA

22

9

67

0.03%

 

 

Texas Tech

Big12

16

14

71

0.02%

 

 

Tulsa

ConfUSA

20

10

70

0.02%

 

 

St. John's

BigEast

17

14

72

0.02%

 

 

Illinois St.

MVC

22

10

74

0.02%

 

 

St. Louis

A10

19

10

87

0.02%

 

 

South Carolina

SEC

15

15

82

0.02%

 

 

North Carolina

ACC

16

15

88

0.00%

 

 

Wright St.

Horizon

20

12

83

0.00%

 

 

Louisiana Tech

WAC

22

9

80

0.00%

 

 

Portland

WCC

19

10

85

0.00%

 

 

Georgia

SEC

13

16

97

0.00%

 

 

Morehead St.

OVC

21

10

84

0.00%

 

 

IUPUI

Summ

22

10

79

0.00%

 

 

Coll of Charleston

Southern

21

11

93

0.00%

 

 

Fairfield

MAAC

22

10

86

0.00%

 

 

Arizona

Pac10

16

14

89

0.00%

 

 

Colorado

Big12

13

15

104

0.00%

 

 

Indiana St.

MVC

16

14

90

0.00%

 

 

Bradley

MVC

16

15

96

0.00%

 

 

North Carolina St.

ACC

17

14

109

0.00%

 

 

Akron

MAC

21

9

94

0.00%

 

 

Iona

MAAC

21

10

91

0.00%

 

 

Appalachian St.

Southern

20

11

95

0.00%

 

 

Missouri St.

MVC

20

12

92

0.00%

 

 

Boston College

ACC

15

15

107

0.00%

 

 

Alabama

SEC

16

14

102

0.00%

 

 

Wisc. Green Bay

Horizon

19

12

100

0.00%

 

 

Duquesne

A10

15

15

105

0.00%

 

 

Iowa St.

Big12

15

16

115

0.00%

 

 

USC

Pac10

16

14

110

0.00%

 

 

Creighton

MVC

16

15

111

0.00%

 

 

Buffalo

MAC

17

11

98

0.00%

 

 

UC Santa Barb.

BigWest

17

9

103

0.00%

 

 

Oklahoma

Big12

13

17

114

0.00%

 

 

Northwestern

Big10

19

12

121

0.00%

 

 

Colorado St.

MWC

15

14

112

0.00%

 

 

Harvard

Ivy

20

7

99

0.00%

 

 

Montana

BigSky

19

9

108

0.00%

 

 

Oral Roberts

Summ

19

13

113

0.00%

 

 

Michigan

Big10

13

16

127

0.00%

 

 

Miami (Fla.)

ACC

17

12

122

0.00%

 

 

Southern Miss.

ConfUSA

14

12

120

0.00%

 

 

Providence

BigEast

12

19

128

0.00%

 

 

Northern Colorado

BigSky

23

7

126

0.00%

 

 

Western Carolina

Southern

19

11

118

0.00%

 

 

Troy

SunBelt

17

12

116

0.00%

 

 

Arkansas

SEC

14

17

141

0.00%

 

 

Wisc. Milwaukee

Horizon

18

14

125

0.00%

 

 

Auburn

SEC

14

16

134

0.00%

 

 

Virginia

ACC

14

15

135

0.00%

 

 

Long Beach St.

BigWest

13

15

119

0.00%

 

 

UCLA

Pac10

13

17

139

0.00%

 

 

Niagara

MAAC

18

15

129

0.00%

 

 

St. Bonaventure

A10

14

15

145

0.00%

 

 

Ohio

MAC

17

14

123

0.00%

 

 

Oregon

Pac10

15

15

143

0.00%

 

 

Western Kentucky

SunBelt

21

13

130

0.00%

 

 

Rutgers

BigEast

14

17

159

0.00%

 

 

Drexel

CAA

16

16

148

0.00%

 

 

Princeton

Ivy

19

8

138

0.00%

 

 

Coastal Caro.

BigSouth

24

6

136

0.00%

 

 

George Washington

A10

16

14

147

0.00%

 

 

Belmont

AtlSun

19

12

132

0.00%

 

 

Utah

MWC

14

16

152

0.00%

 

 

Hofstra

CAA

18

14

149

0.00%

 

 

Rider

MAAC

17

16

140

0.00%

 

 

Miami (Ohio)

MAC

13

17

144

0.00%

 

 

George Mason

CAA

17

14

158

0.00%

 

 

Stony Brook

AmEast

21

9

146

0.00%

 

 

Jacksonville

AtlSun

19

12

137

0.00%

 

 

Boston U.

AmEast

19

12

142

0.00%

 

 

Cleveland St.

Horizon

14

17

162

0.00%

 

 

Nebraska

Big12

14

17

155

0.00%

 

 

Eastern Kentucky

OVC

18

12

151

0.00%

 

 

Robert Morris

NE

22

11

150

0.00%

 

 

Austin Peay

OVC

15

15

157

0.00%

 

 

Maine

AmEast

18

11

153

0.00%

 

 

Washington St.

Pac10

15

14

160

0.00%

 

 

Western Michigan

MAC

16

14

156

0.00%

 

 

Houston

ConfUSA

14

15

163

0.00%

 

 

Loyola Marymount

WCC

17

15

175

0.00%

 

 

La Salle

A10

12

18

165

0.00%

 

 

Detroit

Horizon

19

14

171

0.00%

 

 

Valparaiso

Horizon

12

17

180

0.00%

 

 

Eastern Illinois

OVC

17

12

166

0.00%

 

 

Massachusetts

A10

11

19

174

0.00%

 

 

San Jose St.

WAC

13

16

169

0.00%

 

 

Radford

BigSouth

17

12

161

0.00%

 

 

Southern Illinois

MVC

14

15

170

0.00%

 

 

Stanford

Pac10

13

17

178

0.00%

 

 

Idaho

WAC

13

15

173

0.00%

 

 

Davidson

Southern

14

15

176

0.00%

 

 

St. Joseph's

A10

11

20

179

0.00%

 

 

Drake

MVC

14

19

177

0.00%

 

 

Oregon St.

Pac10

14

16

184

0.00%

 

 

St. Peter's

MAAC

16

14

183

0.00%

 

 

Stephen F. Austin

Southlnd

18

8

168

0.00%

 

 

Denver

SunBelt

19

13

167

0.00%

 

 

TCU

MWC

11

18

186

0.00%

 

 

Fresno St.

WAC

14

17

188

0.00%

 

 

Middle Tenn. St.

SunBelt

17

13

185

0.00%

 

 

Campbell

AtlSun

17

11

182

0.00%

 

 

Mt. St. Mary's

NE

16

15

172

0.00%

 

 

Central Michigan

MAC

14

14

194

0.00%

 

 

Iowa

Big10

10

21

197

0.00%

 

 

Penn St.

Big10

11

19

193

0.00%

 

 

SMU

ConfUSA

12

16

199

0.00%

 

 

TX A&M Corp Chris

Southlnd

13

14

181

0.00%

 

 

Central Florida

ConfUSA

13

16

196

0.00%

 

 

San Francisco

WCC

10

18

207

0.00%

 

 

Montana St.

BigSky

13

14

203

0.00%

 

 

Bowling Green

MAC

13

16

189

0.00%

 

 

Citadel

Southern

14

16

198

0.00%

 

 

Tex San Antonio

Southlnd

16

10

187

0.00%

 

 

Ark.-Pine Bluff

SWAC

14

15

191

0.00%

 

 

Tennessee Tech

OVC

13

17

195

0.00%

 

 

Eastern Michigan

MAC

15

14

206

0.00%

 

 

Indiana

Big10

10

20

212

0.00%

 

 

Northern Arizona

BigSky

12

14

202

0.00%

 

 

Arkansas St.

SunBelt

15

14

201

0.00%

 

 

DePaul

BigEast

8

23

209

0.00%

 

 

Lipscomb

AtlSun

16

13

205

0.00%

 

 

Canisius

MAAC

15

17

208

0.00%

 

 

Boise St.

WAC

14

16

210

0.00%

 

 

SE Louisiana

Southlnd

14

11

200

0.00%

 

 

Cal St. Fullerton

BigWest

13

14

204

0.00%

 

 

Ball State

MAC

14

15

217

0.00%

 

 

Wyoming

MWC

8

20

215

0.00%

 

 

LSU

SEC

11

19

221

0.00%

 

 

Loyola Chi

Horizon

12

16

214

0.00%

 

 

IPFW

Summ

14

15

213

0.00%

 

 

Portland St.

BigSky

11

19

216

0.00%

 

 

NC Asheville

BigSouth

12

16

211

0.00%

 

 

Loyola MD

MAAC

13

17

218

0.00%

 

 

South Dakota

GrtWest

16

9

225

0.00%

 

 

Florida Atlantic

SunBelt

12

16

224

0.00%

 

 

East Carolina

ConfUSA

7

20

226

0.00%

 

 

South Dakota St.

Summ

12

16

228

0.00%

 

 

South Alabama

SunBelt

15

15

219

0.00%

 

 

Delaware St.

MEAC

13

11

220

0.00%

 

 

Mercer

AtlSun

14

17

223

0.00%

 

 

Lafayette

Patriot

19

12

222

0.00%

 

 

Manhattan

MAAC

11

20

227

0.00%

 

 

NC Wilmington

CAA

9

22

235

0.00%

 

 

San Diego

WCC

10

21

230

0.00%

 

 

Evansville

MVC

8

21

244

0.00%

 

 

Liberty

BigSouth

12

16

229

0.00%

 

 

Binghamton

AmEast

11

18

232

0.00%

 

 

Santa Clara

WCC

9

21

234

0.00%

 

 

UT-Chattanooga

Southern

13

18

236

0.00%

 

 

Texas St.

Southlnd

11

15

237

0.00%

 

 

La.-Lafayette

SunBelt

12

16

245

0.00%

 

 

Delaware

CAA

7

24

238

0.00%

 

 

James Madison

CAA

13

20

242

0.00%

 

 

NC Greensboro

Southern

8

23

243

0.00%

 

 

Texas Southern

SWAC

13

15

231

0.00%

 

 

Hawaii

WAC

9

20

248

0.00%

 

 

Georgia St.

CAA

11

20

250

0.00%

 

 

Long Island

NE

14

17

240

0.00%

 

 

South Carolina St.

MEAC

13

13

239

0.00%

 

 

North Florida

AtlSun

12

18

233

0.00%

 

 

Air Force

MWC

7

20

249

0.00%

 

 

Texas Arlington

Southlnd

12

13

241

0.00%

 

 

UC Davis

BigWest

11

17

255

0.00%

 

 

Cal St. Northridge

BigWest

11

20

247

0.00%

 

 

Towson

CAA

10

21

265

0.00%

 

 

Tennessee St.

OVC

9

23

252

0.00%

 

 

High Point

BigSouth

13

15

251

0.00%

 

 

North Dakota St.

Summ

9

18

257

0.00%

 

 

New Hampshire

AmEast

12

17

246

0.00%

 

 

Northern Illinois

MAC

10

20

263

0.00%

 

 

Bucknell

Patriot

14

17

262

0.00%

 

 

Cal Poly

BigWest

11

18

264

0.00%

 

 

Columbia

Ivy

11

17

253

0.00%

 

 

Samford

Southern

8

20

260

0.00%

 

 

Norfolk State

MEAC

11

18

256

0.00%

 

 

UC Riverside

BigWest

10

17

259

0.00%

 

 

Brown

Ivy

9

20

258

0.00%

 

 

Western Illinois

Summ

10

17

266

0.00%

 

 

Tulane

ConfUSA

8

21

277

0.00%

 

 

Elon

Southern

8

23

271

0.00%

 

 

Youngstown St.

Horizon

6

22

269

0.00%

 

 

UC Irvine

BigWest

12

17

274

0.00%

 

 

Yale

Ivy

11

19

270

0.00%

 

 

Eastern Wash.

BigSky

7

21

275

0.00%

 

 

Furman

Southern

11

17

283

0.00%

 

 

Navy

Patriot

13

17

267

0.00%

 

 

UMKC

Summ

10

18

272

0.00%

 

 

Fairleigh Dickinson

NE

11

21

273

0.00%

 

 

Bethune-Cookman

MEAC

13

15

261

0.00%

 

 

Army

Patriot

13

15

254

0.00%

 

 

Georgia Southern

Southern

7

23

286

0.00%

 

 

Ill.-Chicago

Horizon

7

22

287

0.00%

 

 

Prairie View

SWAC

12

13

276

0.00%

 

 

La.-Monroe

SunBelt

10

19

278

0.00%

 

 

Sacred Heart

NE

14

15

268

0.00%

 

 

Alabama St.

SWAC

12

14

284

0.00%

 

 

Nicholls State

Southlnd

8

17

280

0.00%

 

 

Jacksonville St.

OVC

9

19

296

0.00%

 

 

Charleston So.

BigSouth

9

17

281

0.00%

 

 

Kennesaw St.

AtlSun

11

20

285

0.00%

 

 

Fordham

A10

2

26

302

0.00%

 

 

St. Francis (PA)

NE

11

19

289

0.00%

 

 

Colgate

Patriot

10

19

288

0.00%

 

 

Holy Cross

Patriot

9

22

282

0.00%

 

 

Hampton

MEAC

13

17

292

0.00%

 

 

Penn

Ivy

6

22

303

0.00%

 

 

Idaho St.

BigSky

5

22

299

0.00%

 

 

Monmouth (NJ)

NE

12

19

290

0.00%

 

 

American

Patriot

11

20

297

0.00%

 

 

Pepperdine

WCC

6

23

309

0.00%

 

 

St. Francis (NY)

NE

11

18

293

0.00%

 

 

Hartford

AmEast

8

22

301

0.00%

 

 

Florida Int'l

SunBelt

6

25

295

0.00%

 

 

Lamar

Southlnd

10

18

294

0.00%

 

 

Ark.-Little Rock

SunBelt

6

22

298

0.00%

 

 

Sacramento St.

BigSky

7

21

305

0.00%

 

 

Rice

ConfUSA

7

22

314

0.00%

 

 

Central Conn. St.

NE

12

18

310

0.00%

 

 

USC Upstate

AtlSun

6

23

304

0.00%

 

 

MD Eastern Shore

MEAC

10

20

308

0.00%

 

 

SE Missouri St.

OVC

6

23

312

0.00%

 

 

Albany (N.Y.)

AmEast

7

25

300

0.00%

 

 

North Carolina A&T

MEAC

8

21

306

0.00%

 

 

Centenary (La.)

Summ

6

21

311

0.00%

 

 

VMI

BigSouth

6

19

307

0.00%

 

 

Houston Baptist

GrtWest

10

20

330

0.00%

 

 

McNeese St.

Southlnd

7

20

315

0.00%

 

 

Northwestern St.

Southlnd

7

18

318

0.00%

 

 

Gardner-Webb

BigSouth

5

21

317

0.00%

 

 

Toledo

MAC

3

28

326

0.00%

 

 

Florida Gulf Coast

AtlSun

8

21

322

0.00%

 

 

Southern Utah

Summ

5

22

324

0.00%

 

 

Miss. Valley St.

SWAC

8

22

323

0.00%

 

 

Stetson

AtlSun

5

22

325

0.00%

 

 

Central Arkansas

Southlnd

6

20

320

0.00%

 

 

Marist

MAAC

1

29

334

0.00%

 

 

Florida A&M

MEAC

8

21

321

0.00%

 

 

New Orleans

SunBelt

6

22

328

0.00%

 

 

Howard

MEAC

7

25

329

0.00%

 

 

Alabama A&M

SWAC

8

14

332

0.00%

 

 

MD Baltimore Co.

AmEast

4

26

333

0.00%

 

 

Tenn. Martin

OVC

2

25

339

0.00%

 

 

Presbyterian

BigSouth

4

26

327

0.00%

 

 

North Dakota

GrtWest

6

21

337

0.00%

 

 

Dartmouth

Ivy

4

23

335

0.00%

 

 

Utah Valley St.

GrtWest

8

17

340

0.00%

 

 

Wagner

NE

5

26

331

0.00%

 

 

TX Pan American

GrtWest

5

26

336

0.00%

 

 

N.J.I.T.

GrtWest

6

20

341

0.00%

 

 

Coppin St.

MEAC

5

21

338

0.00%

 

 

Chicago St.

GrtWest

6

21

345

0.00%

 

 

Grambling

SWAC

5

20

343

0.00%

 

 

Southern

SWAC

5

24

342

0.00%

 

 

Alcorn St.

SWAC

2

29

344

0.00%

 

 

Bryant University

NE

1

29

347

0.00%

 

 

Longwood

Indie

8

19

279

 

 

 

Savannah St.

Indie

7

15

313

 

 

 

Winston-Salem

Indie

8

17

291

 

 

 

NC Central

Indie

3

22

346

 

 

 

CS Bakersfield

Indie

7

22

316

 

 

 

SIU Edwardsville

Indie

3

23

319

 

 

 

Seattle

Indie

17

14

190

 

 
 
 
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